The shares of American Airlines Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) and Macy’s Inc (NYSE:M) were among the active stocks of the last trading sessions. American Airlines Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) declined to -3.9% closing at the price of $36.44 whereas the shares of Macy’s Inc (NYSE:M) declined -0.12% with the decrease of -0.04 points closing at the price of $32.83. American Airlines Group, Inc. has currently decrease -26.86% in its stock over the period of 6-months while its rival Macy’s Inc added 12.62% in the previous 6-months.
Now we have to analyze the facts that if the stocks were worthy off investors’ money? The facts to analyze here are risks, profitability, returns and price trends.
Returns and Profitability
Profitability and returns are the main reason of investment, the investors are looking for profits that they get and return they should expect over the period of time.
The first and foremost return that is considered while making an investment is the ROI or Return on Investment. The ROI is the ratio between the profit against the cost of investment. Currently the ROI of American Airlines Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) is 15.3% while the ROI of Macy’s Inc (NYSE:M) is 10.9%. Another figure that is to be considered while analyzing the profitability of a share is its EBITDA margin, AAL’s EBITDA Margin is 6.36 whereas M’s is 5.77.
Both the profitability ratios suggest that American Airlines Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) is more suitable investment in terms of profitability and return.
EPS & Surprise Factor
American Airlines Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) reported $1.63/share EPS for the previous quarter where analysts were predicting an EPS to be $1.59/share Thus beating the analyst Estimates with a Surprise Factor of 2.5 Percent. While, Macy’s Inc (NYSE:M) reported EPS of $0.7/share in the last quarter. The analysts projected EPS of $0.51/share depicting a Surprise of 37.3 Percent.
Taking a look at Earnings per Share, Macy’s Inc tends to be beating the analyst estimates more than American Airlines Group, Inc.. so M is more profitable than AAL.
Technical Analysis of American Airlines Group, Inc. & Macy’s Inc
Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) shows that American Airlines Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) is on a PRICE RELATIVITY trend While Macy’s Inc (NYSE:M) is on PRICE RELATIVITY trend. The trend for the past 10-days shows that the American Airlines Group, Inc. was in BEARISH territory and Macy’s Inc was in BEARISH territory.
AAL’s current statistics gauge that the stock candle is BEARISH with HIGH volatility. While M’s candle is BEARISH with MEDIUM.
EPS Growth Rate: AAL’s 11.89% versus M’s -0.77%
Another shareholder value can be analyzed through the EPS growth rate; the next 5 years EPS growth rate is predicted by the analysts after the analyzing the previous trends. The next 5 year EPS growth rate of American Airlines Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL) is predicted at 11.89% while Macy’s Inc (NYSE:M) stands at -0.77%. These numbers suggest that AAL is more suitable investment in terms of EPS growth rate.
Financial Risk and Liquidity Concerns
The current ratio and the debt ratio are the two ratios that show the investor how quickly the company is able to payout its debt and how quickly it can cover its obligations. The current ratio of AAL stands at 0.6 while M is at 1.5 whereas the debt ratio of the prior is 0 while the debt ratio of the later is 0.94.
The values of the both ratios suggest that M is more suitable investment when the liquidity and risk is the main concern.
While making an investment, another main factor to consider before investing is the analyst recommendation on the scale of 1 to 5 where 1 is strong buy, 2 is buy, 3 is hold, 4 is Sell and 5 is strong sell. Analyst recommend 1.9 for AAL and 2.9 for M which means AAL has Buy rating whereas M has Hold rating.
Another recommendation of analyst that is to be considered worthy is the price target. The mare price or price trend does not suggest the suitability of a stock. The price target set by analyst is also to be considered while investing as it suggests to what extent the stock will rise or fall in the near future. The price target set for AAL is $51.8 which is 29.65% of its current price while M has price target of 36 which is 8.81% of its current price.
Valuation is the process of determining the company’s worth for an investor, the valuation ratios give an insight to that worthiness.
AAL currently has price to earning P/E ratio of 7.06 whereas M has 9.24 while the forward P/E ratio for the prior stands at 6.45 and for the later it depicts the value of 9.13.
The price to Book P/B for AAL is 0, Price to Sale is at 0.4 and for M these ratios stand at 1.71 and 0.4.