Long-Term Investment or Short-Term? Trevena, Inc. (TRVN), Century Aluminum Company (CENX)

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The shares of Trevena, Inc. (NASDAQ:TRVN) and Century Aluminum Company (NASDAQ:CENX) were among the active stocks of the last trading sessions. Trevena, Inc. (NASDAQ:TRVN) declined to -4.5% closing at the price of $0.86 whereas the shares of Century Aluminum Company (NASDAQ:CENX) declined -2.17% with the decrease of -0.22 points closing at the price of $9.92. Trevena, Inc. has currently decrease -50.71% in its stock over the period of 6-months while its rival Century Aluminum Company subtracted -43.8% in the previous 6-months.

Now we have to analyze the facts that if the stocks were worthy off investors’ money? The facts to analyze here are risks, profitability, returns and price trends.

Returns and Profitability

Profitability and returns are the main reason of investment, the investors are looking for profits that they get and return they should expect over the period of time.

The first and foremost return that is considered while making an investment is the ROI or Return on Investment. The ROI is the ratio between the profit against the cost of investment. Currently the ROI of Trevena, Inc. (NASDAQ:TRVN) is 0% while the ROI of Century Aluminum Company (NASDAQ:CENX) is 7.3%. Another figure that is to be considered while analyzing the profitability of a share is its EBITDA margin, TRVN’s EBITDA Margin is -0.63 whereas CENX’s is 5.88.

Both the profitability ratios suggest that Century Aluminum Company (NASDAQ:CENX) is more suitable investment in terms of profitability and return.

EPS & Surprise Factor

Trevena, Inc. (NASDAQ:TRVN) reported $-0.13/share EPS for the previous quarter where analysts were predicting an EPS to be $-0.13/share Thus meeting the analyst Estimates with a Surprise Factor of 0 Percent. While, Century Aluminum Company (NASDAQ:CENX) reported EPS of $0.32/share in the last quarter. The analysts projected EPS of $0.26/share depicting a Surprise of 23.1 Percent.

Taking a look at Earnings per Share, Century Aluminum Company tends to be beating the analyst estimates more than Trevena, Inc.. so CENX is more profitable than TRVN.

Technical Analysis of Trevena, Inc. & Century Aluminum Company

Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) shows that Trevena, Inc. (NASDAQ:TRVN) is on a PRICE RELATIVITY trend While Century Aluminum Company (NASDAQ:CENX) is on PRICE RELATIVITY trend. The trend for the past 10-days shows that the Trevena, Inc. was in BEARISH territory and Century Aluminum Company was in BEARISH territory.

TRVN’s current statistics gauge that the stock candle is BEARISH with HIGH volatility. While CENX’s candle is BEARISH with LOW.

EPS Growth Rate: TRVN’s 0% versus CENX’s 0%

Another shareholder value can be analyzed through the EPS growth rate; the next 5 years EPS growth rate is predicted by the analysts after the analyzing the previous trends. The next 5 year EPS growth rate of Trevena, Inc. (NASDAQ:TRVN) is predicted at 0% while Century Aluminum Company (NASDAQ:CENX) stands at 0%. These numbers suggest that CENX is more suitable investment in terms of EPS growth rate.

Financial Risk and Liquidity Concerns

The current ratio and the debt ratio are the two ratios that show the investor how quickly the company is able to payout its debt and how quickly it can cover its obligations. The current ratio of TRVN stands at 3.4 while CENX is at 2.9 whereas the debt ratio of the prior is 0.6 while the debt ratio of the later is 0.3.

The values of the both ratios suggest that TRVN is more suitable investment when the liquidity and risk is the main concern.

Analyst Recommendations

While making an investment, another main factor to consider before investing is the analyst recommendation on the scale of 1 to 5 where 1 is strong buy, 2 is buy, 3 is hold, 4 is Sell and 5 is strong sell. Analyst recommend 2.2 for TRVN and 2.8 for CENX which means TRVN has Hold rating whereas CENX has Hold rating.

Another recommendation of analyst that is to be considered worthy is the price target. The mare price or price trend does not suggest the suitability of a stock. The price target set by analyst is also to be considered while investing as it suggests to what extent the stock will rise or fall in the near future. The price target set for TRVN is $8 which is 89.25% of its current price while CENX has price target of 15.2 which is 34.74% of its current price.

Valuation Ratios

Valuation is the process of determining the company’s worth for an investor, the valuation ratios give an insight to that worthiness.

TRVN currently has price to earning P/E ratio of 0 whereas CENX has 12.51 while the forward P/E ratio for the prior stands at 0 and for the later it depicts the value of 20.41.

The price to Book P/B for TRVN is 1.54, Price to Sale is at 28.23 and for CENX these ratios stand at 1.02 and 0.49.