The shares of LyondellBasell Industries NV (NYSE:LYB) and Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) were among the active stocks of the last trading sessions. LyondellBasell Industries NV (NYSE:LYB) declined to -1.49% closing at the price of $94.79 whereas the shares of Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) soared 0.68% with the increase of 0.21 points closing at the price of $30.98. LyondellBasell Industries NV has currently decrease -11.97% in its stock over the period of 6-months while its rival Ciena Corporation added 16.69% in the previous 6-months.
Now we have to analyze the facts that if the stocks were worthy off investors’ money? The facts to analyze here are risks, profitability, returns and price trends.
Returns and Profitability
Profitability and returns are the main reason of investment, the investors are looking for profits that they get and return they should expect over the period of time.
The first and foremost return that is considered while making an investment is the ROI or Return on Investment. The ROI is the ratio between the profit against the cost of investment. Currently the ROI of LyondellBasell Industries NV (NYSE:LYB) is 23% while the ROI of Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) is 41.8%. Another figure that is to be considered while analyzing the profitability of a share is its EBITDA margin, LYB’s EBITDA Margin is 6.09 whereas CIEN’s is 13.65.
Both the profitability ratios suggest that Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) is more suitable investment in terms of profitability and return.
EPS & Surprise Factor
LyondellBasell Industries NV (NYSE:LYB) reported $3.34/share EPS for the previous quarter where analysts were predicting an EPS to be $2.92/share Thus beating the analyst Estimates with a Surprise Factor of 14.4 Percent. While, Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) reported EPS of $0.48/share in the last quarter. The analysts projected EPS of $0.36/share depicting a Surprise of 33.3 Percent.
Taking a look at Earnings per Share, Ciena Corporation tends to be beating the analyst estimates more than LyondellBasell Industries NV. so CIEN is more profitable than LYB.
Technical Analysis of LyondellBasell Industries NV & Ciena Corporation
Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) shows that LyondellBasell Industries NV (NYSE:LYB) is on a PRICE RELATIVITY trend While Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) is on PRICE RELATIVITY trend. The trend for the past 10-days shows that the LyondellBasell Industries NV was in BEARISH territory and Ciena Corporation was in BULLISH territory.
LYB’s current statistics gauge that the stock candle is BEARISH with HIGH volatility. While CIEN’s candle is BULLISH with HIGH.
EPS Growth Rate: LYB’s 7.38% versus CIEN’s 15%
Another shareholder value can be analyzed through the EPS growth rate; the next 5 years EPS growth rate is predicted by the analysts after the analyzing the previous trends. The next 5 year EPS growth rate of LyondellBasell Industries NV (NYSE:LYB) is predicted at 7.38% while Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) stands at 15%. These numbers suggest that CIEN is more suitable investment in terms of EPS growth rate.
Financial Risk and Liquidity Concerns
The current ratio and the debt ratio are the two ratios that show the investor how quickly the company is able to payout its debt and how quickly it can cover its obligations. The current ratio of LYB stands at 2.3 while CIEN is at 2 whereas the debt ratio of the prior is 0.81 while the debt ratio of the later is 0.53.
The values of the both ratios suggest that LYB is more suitable investment when the liquidity and risk is the main concern.
While making an investment, another main factor to consider before investing is the analyst recommendation on the scale of 1 to 5 where 1 is strong buy, 2 is buy, 3 is hold, 4 is Sell and 5 is strong sell. Analyst recommend 2.8 for LYB and 2 for CIEN which means LYB has Hold rating whereas CIEN has Buy rating.
Another recommendation of analyst that is to be considered worthy is the price target. The mare price or price trend does not suggest the suitability of a stock. The price target set by analyst is also to be considered while investing as it suggests to what extent the stock will rise or fall in the near future. The price target set for LYB is $115.55 which is 17.97% of its current price while CIEN has price target of 34.21 which is 9.44% of its current price.
Valuation is the process of determining the company’s worth for an investor, the valuation ratios give an insight to that worthiness.
LYB currently has price to earning P/E ratio of 7.45 whereas CIEN has 4.64 while the forward P/E ratio for the prior stands at 8.41 and for the later it depicts the value of 17.12.
The price to Book P/B for LYB is 3.5, Price to Sale is at 0.98 and for CIEN these ratios stand at 2.5 and 1.51.