Long-Term Investment or Short-Term? TAL Education Group (TAL), Alcoa Corporation (AA)

The shares of TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL) and Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) were among the active stocks of the last trading sessions. TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL) soared to 0.07% closing at the price of $29.01 whereas the shares of Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) declined -1.12% with the decrease of -0.41 points closing at the price of $36.19. TAL Education Group has currently decrease -27.47% in its stock over the period of 6-months while its rival Alcoa Corporation subtracted -32.34% in the previous 6-months.

Now we have to analyze the facts that if the stocks were worthy off investors’ money? The facts to analyze here are risks, profitability, returns and price trends.

Returns and Profitability

Profitability and returns are the main reason of investment, the investors are looking for profits that they get and return they should expect over the period of time.

The first and foremost return that is considered while making an investment is the ROI or Return on Investment. The ROI is the ratio between the profit against the cost of investment. Currently the ROI of TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL) is 8.7% while the ROI of Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) is 10.6%. Another figure that is to be considered while analyzing the profitability of a share is its EBITDA margin, TAL’s EBITDA Margin is 35.64 whereas AA’s is 3.36.

Both the profitability ratios suggest a mixed sentiment for TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL) and Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA).

EPS & Surprise Factor

TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL) reported $0.13/share EPS for the previous quarter where analysts were predicting an EPS to be $0.11/share Thus beating the analyst Estimates with a Surprise Factor of 18.2 Percent. While, Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) reported EPS of $0.63/share in the last quarter. The analysts projected EPS of $0.36/share depicting a Surprise of 75 Percent.

Taking a look at Earnings per Share, Alcoa Corporation tends to be beating the analyst estimates more than TAL Education Group. so AA is more profitable than TAL.

Technical Analysis of TAL Education Group & Alcoa Corporation

Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) shows that TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL) is on a PRICE RELATIVITY trend While Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) is on PRICE RELATIVITY trend. The trend for the past 10-days shows that the TAL Education Group was in BULLISH territory and Alcoa Corporation was in BULLISH territory.

TAL’s current statistics gauge that the stock candle is BEARISH with HIGH volatility. While AA’s candle is BEARISH with MEDIUM.

EPS Growth Rate: TAL’s 42.52% versus AA’s 8.9%

Another shareholder value can be analyzed through the EPS growth rate; the next 5 years EPS growth rate is predicted by the analysts after the analyzing the previous trends. The next 5 year EPS growth rate of TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL) is predicted at 42.52% while Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) stands at 8.9%. These numbers suggest that TAL is more suitable investment in terms of EPS growth rate.

Financial Risk and Liquidity Concerns

The current ratio and the debt ratio are the two ratios that show the investor how quickly the company is able to payout its debt and how quickly it can cover its obligations. The current ratio of TAL stands at 1.2 while AA is at 1.4 whereas the debt ratio of the prior is 0.13 while the debt ratio of the later is 0.38.

The values of the both ratios suggest that AA is more suitable investment when the liquidity and risk is the main concern.

Analyst Recommendations

While making an investment, another main factor to consider before investing is the analyst recommendation on the scale of 1 to 5 where 1 is strong buy, 2 is buy, 3 is hold, 4 is Sell and 5 is strong sell. Analyst recommend 2 for TAL and 2 for AA which means TAL has Buy rating whereas AA has Buy rating.

Another recommendation of analyst that is to be considered worthy is the price target. The mare price or price trend does not suggest the suitability of a stock. The price target set by analyst is also to be considered while investing as it suggests to what extent the stock will rise or fall in the near future. The price target set for TAL is $34.07 which is 14.85% of its current price while AA has price target of 58.14 which is 37.75% of its current price.

Valuation Ratios

Valuation is the process of determining the company’s worth for an investor, the valuation ratios give an insight to that worthiness.

TAL currently has price to earning P/E ratio of 65.63 whereas AA has 1247.93 while the forward P/E ratio for the prior stands at 43.49 and for the later it depicts the value of 9.05.

The price to Book P/B for TAL is 8.87, Price to Sale is at 7.77 and for AA these ratios stand at 1.34 and 0.51.