The shares of Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOSL) and Dropbox, Inc. (NASDAQ:DBX) were among the active stocks of the last trading sessions. Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOSL) soared to 5.76% closing at the price of $21.85 whereas the shares of Dropbox, Inc. (NASDAQ:DBX) declined -1.08% with the decrease of -0.27 points closing at the price of $24.74. Fossil Group, Inc. has currently increase 17.66% in its stock over the period of 6-months while its rival Dropbox, Inc. subtracted -20.91% in the previous 6-months.
Now we have to analyze the facts that if the stocks were worthy off investors’ money? The facts to analyze here are risks, profitability, returns and price trends.
Returns and Profitability
Profitability and returns are the main reason of investment, the investors are looking for profits that they get and return they should expect over the period of time.
The first and foremost return that is considered while making an investment is the ROI or Return on Investment. The ROI is the ratio between the profit against the cost of investment. Currently the ROI of Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOSL) is -46.4% while the ROI of Dropbox, Inc. (NASDAQ:DBX) is 15%. Another figure that is to be considered while analyzing the profitability of a share is its EBITDA margin, FOSL’s EBITDA Margin is 7.5 whereas DBX’s is -23.62.
Both the profitability ratios suggest a mixed sentiment for Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOSL) and Dropbox, Inc. (NASDAQ:DBX).
EPS & Surprise Factor
Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOSL) reported $0.19/share EPS for the previous quarter where analysts were predicting an EPS to be $-0.19/share Thus beating the analyst Estimates with a Surprise Factor of 200 Percent. While, Dropbox, Inc. (NASDAQ:DBX) reported EPS of $0.11/share in the last quarter. The analysts projected EPS of $0.06/share depicting a Surprise of 83.3 Percent.
Taking a look at Earnings per Share, Fossil Group, Inc. tends to be beating the analyst estimates more than Dropbox, Inc.. so FOSL is more profitable than DBX.
Technical Analysis of Fossil Group, Inc. & Dropbox, Inc.
Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) shows that Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOSL) is on a PRICE RELATIVITY trend While Dropbox, Inc. (NASDAQ:DBX) is on PRICE RELATIVITY trend. The trend for the past 10-days shows that the Fossil Group, Inc. was in BULLISH territory and Dropbox, Inc. was in BEARISH territory.
FOSL’s current statistics gauge that the stock candle is BEARISH with HIGH volatility. While DBX’s candle is NEUTRAL with MEDIUM.
EPS Growth Rate: FOSL’s 17.3% versus DBX’s 16.25%
Another shareholder value can be analyzed through the EPS growth rate; the next 5 years EPS growth rate is predicted by the analysts after the analyzing the previous trends. The next 5 year EPS growth rate of Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:FOSL) is predicted at 17.3% while Dropbox, Inc. (NASDAQ:DBX) stands at 16.25%. These numbers suggest that FOSL is more suitable investment in terms of EPS growth rate.
Financial Risk and Liquidity Concerns
The current ratio and the debt ratio are the two ratios that show the investor how quickly the company is able to payout its debt and how quickly it can cover its obligations. The current ratio of FOSL stands at 2.1 while DBX is at 1.4 whereas the debt ratio of the prior is 0.77 while the debt ratio of the later is 0.25.
The values of the both ratios suggest that FOSL is more suitable investment when the liquidity and risk is the main concern.
While making an investment, another main factor to consider before investing is the analyst recommendation on the scale of 1 to 5 where 1 is strong buy, 2 is buy, 3 is hold, 4 is Sell and 5 is strong sell. Analyst recommend 3.3 for FOSL and 2.1 for DBX which means FOSL has Sell rating whereas DBX has Hold rating.
Another recommendation of analyst that is to be considered worthy is the price target. The mare price or price trend does not suggest the suitability of a stock. The price target set by analyst is also to be considered while investing as it suggests to what extent the stock will rise or fall in the near future. The price target set for FOSL is $20.2 which is -8.17% of its current price while DBX has price target of 35.42 which is 30.15% of its current price.
Valuation is the process of determining the company’s worth for an investor, the valuation ratios give an insight to that worthiness.
FOSL currently has price to earning P/E ratio of 0 whereas DBX has 0 while the forward P/E ratio for the prior stands at 35.02 and for the later it depicts the value of 60.79.
The price to Book P/B for FOSL is 2.09, Price to Sale is at 0.38 and for DBX these ratios stand at 14.9 and 7.87.