Long-Term Investment or Short-Term? Coty Inc. (COTY), New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NYMT)

The shares of Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY) and New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NASDAQ:NYMT) were among the active stocks of the last trading sessions. Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY) declined to -4.16% closing at the price of $8.3 whereas the shares of New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NASDAQ:NYMT) declined -3.5% with the decrease of -0.22 points closing at the price of $6.07. Coty Inc. has currently decrease -41.96% in its stock over the period of 6-months while its rival New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. subtracted -0.98% in the previous 6-months.

Now we have to analyze the facts that if the stocks were worthy off investors’ money? The facts to analyze here are risks, profitability, returns and price trends.

Returns and Profitability

Profitability and returns are the main reason of investment, the investors are looking for profits that they get and return they should expect over the period of time.

The first and foremost return that is considered while making an investment is the ROI or Return on Investment. The ROI is the ratio between the profit against the cost of investment. Currently the ROI of Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY) is 1.3% while the ROI of New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NASDAQ:NYMT) is 0.8%. Another figure that is to be considered while analyzing the profitability of a share is its EBITDA margin, COTY’s EBITDA Margin is 11.41 whereas NYMT’s is NOT AVAILABLE.

Both the profitability ratios suggest a mixed sentiment for Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY) and New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NASDAQ:NYMT).

EPS & Surprise Factor

Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY) reported $0.11/share EPS for the previous quarter where analysts were predicting an EPS to be $0.08/share Thus beating the analyst Estimates with a Surprise Factor of 37.5 Percent. While, New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NASDAQ:NYMT) reported EPS of $0.2/share in the last quarter. The analysts projected EPS of $0.15/share depicting a Surprise of 33.3 Percent.

Taking a look at Earnings per Share, Coty Inc. tends to be beating the analyst estimates more than New York Mortgage Trust, Inc.. so COTY is more profitable than NYMT.

Technical Analysis of Coty Inc. & New York Mortgage Trust, Inc.

Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) shows that Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY) is on a PRICE RELATIVITY trend While New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NASDAQ:NYMT) is on PRICE RELATIVITY trend. The trend for the past 10-days shows that the Coty Inc. was in BEARISH territory and New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. was in BULLISH territory.

COTY’s current statistics gauge that the stock candle is BEARISH with HIGH volatility. While NYMT’s candle is BULLISH with HIGH.

EPS Growth Rate: COTY’s 15.5% versus NYMT’s 2.52%

Another shareholder value can be analyzed through the EPS growth rate; the next 5 years EPS growth rate is predicted by the analysts after the analyzing the previous trends. The next 5 year EPS growth rate of Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY) is predicted at 15.5% while New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NASDAQ:NYMT) stands at 2.52%. These numbers suggest that COTY is more suitable investment in terms of EPS growth rate.

Financial Risk and Liquidity Concerns

The current ratio and the debt ratio are the two ratios that show the investor how quickly the company is able to payout its debt and how quickly it can cover its obligations. The current ratio of COTY stands at 0.9 while NYMT is at 0 whereas the debt ratio of the prior is 0.85 while the debt ratio of the later is 14.52.

The values of the both ratios suggest that one is more liquid and other investment is more risk free.

Analyst Recommendations

While making an investment, another main factor to consider before investing is the analyst recommendation on the scale of 1 to 5 where 1 is strong buy, 2 is buy, 3 is hold, 4 is Sell and 5 is strong sell. Analyst recommend 2.7 for COTY and 3 for NYMT which means COTY has Hold rating whereas NYMT has Hold rating.

Another recommendation of analyst that is to be considered worthy is the price target. The mare price or price trend does not suggest the suitability of a stock. The price target set by analyst is also to be considered while investing as it suggests to what extent the stock will rise or fall in the near future. The price target set for COTY is $14 which is 40.71% of its current price while NYMT has price target of 5.94 which is -2.19% of its current price.

Valuation Ratios

Valuation is the process of determining the company’s worth for an investor, the valuation ratios give an insight to that worthiness.

COTY currently has price to earning P/E ratio of 0 whereas NYMT has 8.11 while the forward P/E ratio for the prior stands at 9.36 and for the later it depicts the value of 10.48.

The price to Book P/B for COTY is 0.7, Price to Sale is at 0.66 and for NYMT these ratios stand at 0.96 and 1.65.