The shares of Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) and Annaly Capital Management Inc (NYSE:NLY) were among the active stocks of the last trading sessions. Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) declined to -4.41% closing at the price of $91.95 whereas the shares of Annaly Capital Management Inc (NYSE:NLY) soared 0.7% with the increase of 0.07 points closing at the price of $10. Twilio Inc. has currently increase 71.61% in its stock over the period of 6-months while its rival Annaly Capital Management Inc subtracted -3.94% in the previous 6-months.
Now we have to analyze the facts that if the stocks were worthy off investors’ money? The facts to analyze here are risks, profitability, returns and price trends.
Returns and Profitability
Profitability and returns are the main reason of investment, the investors are looking for profits that they get and return they should expect over the period of time.
The first and foremost return that is considered while making an investment is the ROI or Return on Investment. The ROI is the ratio between the profit against the cost of investment. Currently the ROI of Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) is -18.6% while the ROI of Annaly Capital Management Inc (NYSE:NLY) is 1.6%. Another figure that is to be considered while analyzing the profitability of a share is its EBITDA margin, TWLO’s EBITDA Margin is -82.59 whereas NLY’s is NOT AVAILABLE.
Both the profitability ratios suggest that Annaly Capital Management Inc (NYSE:NLY) is more suitable investment in terms of profitability and return.
EPS & Surprise Factor
Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) reported $0.07/share EPS for the previous quarter where analysts were predicting an EPS to be $0.02/share Thus beating the analyst Estimates with a Surprise Factor of 250 Percent. While, Annaly Capital Management Inc (NYSE:NLY) reported EPS of $0.3/share in the last quarter. The analysts projected EPS of $0.29/share depicting a Surprise of 3.4 Percent.
Taking a look at Earnings per Share, Twilio Inc. tends to be beating the analyst estimates more than Annaly Capital Management Inc. so TWLO is more profitable than NLY.
Technical Analysis of Twilio Inc. & Annaly Capital Management Inc
Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) shows that Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) is on a PRICE RELATIVITY trend While Annaly Capital Management Inc (NYSE:NLY) is on PRICE RELATIVITY trend. The trend for the past 10-days shows that the Twilio Inc. was in BULLISH territory and Annaly Capital Management Inc was in BULLISH territory.
TWLO’s current statistics gauge that the stock candle is BEARISH with HIGH volatility. While NLY’s candle is BEARISH with MEDIUM.
EPS Growth Rate: TWLO’s 8% versus NLY’s -1.83%
Another shareholder value can be analyzed through the EPS growth rate; the next 5 years EPS growth rate is predicted by the analysts after the analyzing the previous trends. The next 5 year EPS growth rate of Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) is predicted at 8% while Annaly Capital Management Inc (NYSE:NLY) stands at -1.83%. These numbers suggest that TWLO is more suitable investment in terms of EPS growth rate.
Financial Risk and Liquidity Concerns
The current ratio and the debt ratio are the two ratios that show the investor how quickly the company is able to payout its debt and how quickly it can cover its obligations. The current ratio of TWLO stands at 7.2 while NLY is at 0 whereas the debt ratio of the prior is 0.98 while the debt ratio of the later is 6.64.
The values of the both ratios suggest that one is more liquid and other investment is more risk free.
While making an investment, another main factor to consider before investing is the analyst recommendation on the scale of 1 to 5 where 1 is strong buy, 2 is buy, 3 is hold, 4 is Sell and 5 is strong sell. Analyst recommend 1.5 for TWLO and 3 for NLY which means TWLO has Buy rating whereas NLY has Hold rating.
Another recommendation of analyst that is to be considered worthy is the price target. The mare price or price trend does not suggest the suitability of a stock. The price target set by analyst is also to be considered while investing as it suggests to what extent the stock will rise or fall in the near future. The price target set for TWLO is $85.77 which is -7.21% of its current price while NLY has price target of 10.39 which is 3.75% of its current price.
Valuation is the process of determining the company’s worth for an investor, the valuation ratios give an insight to that worthiness.
TWLO currently has price to earning P/E ratio of 0 whereas NLY has 3.97 while the forward P/E ratio for the prior stands at 621.28 and for the later it depicts the value of 8.72.
The price to Book P/B for TWLO is 20.62, Price to Sale is at 18.75 and for NLY these ratios stand at 0.91 and 2.62.